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An interesting article I wrote in 2007


WHAT MAKES A FORMULA 1 DRIVER A CHAMPION?


Carlos de Paula


 


With Michael Schumacher’s retirement, I am almost positive that we will have a new Formula 1 champion in 2007. Although I do like Fernando Alonso, and believe he is the most complete Formula 1 driver of the current era, after MS’ departure, I was not at all impressed with McLaren’s 2006 performance, so I am betting on a red car winning the title. See my preview on the site’s home page.


 


Michael’s retirement also brought about the search for the “new Michael”, just like there was a search for a “new Fangio”, “new Clark” and “new Senna”, in the past. You know, that driver you just knew was going to win the championship one day, sooner or later.


 


After 57 editions of the Formula 1 championship, one reaches the conclusion that there is no such a thing as a sure bet. The current crop of serious candidate for “certain champions” includes Robert Kubica, Lewis Hamilton, Heikki Kovalainen, Sebastien Vettel and Nelson Piquet Jr. Certainly drivers like Fangio, Senna, Michael and Clark were obviously meant to be champions, however, the list of failed “certain champions” is much longer than the sure bets.


 


Take, for instance, Stirling Moss. Widely known as the champion by merit, Moss managed to amass four runner up and three third places in the world championship, with no less than sixteen victories. But he is not alone. The list of “sure champions” who never won the title is indeed very long: Ronnie Peterson, Gilles Villeneuve, Juan Pablo Montoya, Heinz Harald Frentzen, Jean Alesi, Jarno Trulli, Carlos Reutemann, Jacky Ickx, Dan Gurney, Stefan Bellof, Francois Cevert, Peter Collins, Clay Regazzoni,  Chris Amon, Didier Pironi, Ricardo Rodriguez, Tony Brise, Tom Pryce, Jean Pierre Jarier. Johnny Servoz Gavin, Jan Magnussen, Ivan Capelli, Tim Schenken, Michele Alboreto, Eugenio Castelloti…


 


On the other hand, there are some drivers who seemed destined for anything but grandeur in their Formula 1 career, who ended up achieving much instead. A clear example is Niki Lauda. His early career was not successful. His forays in F-3 were not indicative of a future champion, he was just an average Formula 2 driver, and most of his early wins came in poorly supported sports car races. His first Formula 1 starts, with a self financed March, did not indicate anything special. In fact, it was only late in 1973, when he had been around Formula 1 for two years already, that Lauda appeared to have special skills, after great drives in Germany and Canada in a down on power BRM. When he was hired by Ferrari at the end of the season, many thought the association would not be successful, and the rest is history.


 


Britain has produced at least three world champions that seemed destined for failure in their early careers as well: James Hunt, Nigel Mansell and Damon Hill. Hunt was so accident prone that he was nicknamed “James Shunt”. His patron believed him enough to buy James Formula 1 cars before he proved his real worth in Formula 2. And aboard the March 731, in 1973, James transformed himself into a veritable Formula 1 powerhouse, posting fast laps and podiums in what was essentially an average car. In fact, he finished mighty close to Ronnie Peterson in the last championship race of the year, a little over one second. Lord Hesketh dug deeper into his pocket, building Hunt a proprietary challenger, with which he won the Dutch Grand Prix in 1975. Eventually Hunt made his way into the McLaren team, winning the 1976 handsomely, after Emerson Fittipaldi took the foolhardy step of joining his brother’s Formula 1 team. The fire was gone after a couple of seasons, and Hunt quit mid way through the 1979 season. 


 


Nigel Mansell’s Formula 2 and Formula 3 performances did not indicate a future star in the making. In fact, his first Formula 1 drives were not that impressive, although he did manage a podium in his seventh race, at Belgium, 1981. He stayed at Lotus from 1980 to 1984, and during this period he was always overshadowed by Elio di Angelis, himself not a stellar driver. By 1984, Mansell was qualifying better, but the best he could do was third places. Mansell seemed at best a solid number 2 driver, who might win a couple of races before the closing of his career. He did catch the eye of Frank Williams, though, who needed to replace Jacques Laffite for 1985, and thereafter appeared a new Mansell, who won the 1992 title in commanding style, posting 31 career wins.


 


Damon Hill began his race car career late, and in spite of a fair performance in Formula 3, by 1992 he seemed destined to join a long list of Formula 3000 drivers who never made it beyond that level. Being hired by the Brabham Formula 1 team for 1992 was anything but a promising move. The team was in its last legs, and Damon managed to qualify a couple of times. However, Damon was also the Williams testing driver, and was surprisingly hired by the team for the 1993 season as a race driver. The Williams car was the class of the field, and soon Damon was posting regular podium finishes, culminating with a run of 3 straight wins late in the season. Frank had obviously found the perfect number 2 driver, who would partner Ayrton Senna well for 1994. It was not to be. Senna died after three races, and Damon was left to carry the Williams fight against the might of Michael Schumacher. He did admirably well, winning the 1996 championship, and a whopping 20 races. Not bad for a driver that appeared heading for the sports’ footnotes.


 


Alan Jones’ first few years in Europe were not good. He seemed stuck in Formula 3 for many seasons, with poor results and no apparent progress. By 1973 his F-3 performance had improved, and in 1974 he was the class of the field in Formula Atlantic, still far from view of F-1 team managers, though. He did find a good backer in former driver Harry Stiller, who bought him a Hesketh for 1975, and Jones impressed enough to be hired by Graham Hill for a few races, scoring 5th in Germany. Luckily Alan was not in the plane that killed Hill and “future champion” Tony Brise in 1975, so in 1976 Jonesy was back in F-1, driving for Surtees. He impressed in the race of Champions, where Surtees cars always seemed to do well, and scored a few championship points. He was not back in F-1 for the beginning of the 1977 season, having been replaced by Brambilla at Surtees, until he was called to substitute the deceased Tom Pryce at Shadow. Jones got the big break he needed scoring Shadow’s single F-1 victory, beginning a very successful partnership with Frank Williams in 1978. This was Williams second attempt at building a F-1 team, having lost his original équipe to Walter Wolf in 1976. Backed by plentiful Saudi money, the Williams was moderately successful in 1978, but an improved Lotus 79 copy, in 1979, transformed Williams into the class of the field. Jones ended up winning the title in 1980, an unlikely proposition back in 1971.


 


This shows that success in the lower formulae is not a recipe for guaranteed success in Formula 1. In fact, a lot of drivers who had very good careers in the lower formula, failed to achieve ultimate success in Formula 1. Among others, Brian Henton, Jonathan Palmer, Bruno Giacomelli, Rene Arnoux, Jacques Laffite, David Walker. Some, like Sebastien Bourdais, will likely not even make it to Formula 1 at all.


 


On the other hand, there are those “sure champions” who ended up winning the championship, but did so unconvincingly. One such case is Jody Scheckter. Very fast and successful from his arrival in Europe, in 1971, Scheckter was winning in Formula 2, by 1972, and by the end of that year he got a chance to drive for McLaren in Formula 1. He impressed greatly, and was back on the team, driving the occasional third car with great speed and gusto. The general opinion was that if only he could survive his over indulgent driving, he would surely be a world champion. After the crash prone 1973 season, Jody was lucky to be hired as Tyrrel’s number 1 driver for 1974, as Jackie Stewart’s heir, François Cevert, another “sure future champion”, had been killed in the last race of 1973. Jody became a more sedate driver from the word go, but was a constant points scorer and occasional winner. He got some of his verve back, when he was hired by Walter Wolf for 1977, but by the time he was placed in a Ferrari, for 1979, Jody had become a somewhat bureaucratic, results driven driver. It did not help the fact that his team mate was Gilles Villeneuve, but not only did his teammate drive better that year, so did Alan Jones. One year after winning the championship, Jody quit Formula 1, after a very poor year at Ferrari.     


 


Keke Rosberg’s championship year, 1982, was also anti-climatic at best. Having become the first champion to win the championship in an year after he went scoreless (1981), it seems plausible to presume that Keke would not be champion if Didier Pironi did not have his terrible accident in Germany. Additionally “anti-climatic” about Keke’s championship year was that, although known as a very fast driver, the title was won on the strength of regularity, hardly Keke’s main trait, and that he almost won the title without a single victory. Too bad Keke would not last much longer in Formula 1, to show what he could do with a top car, such as the Williams-Honda he left in 1985.


 


There are no formulas. For instance, a “driver has to win the championship within “x” years after entering Formula 1”. A clear example of that is Mario Andretti. Having debuted in 1968, Mario won the championship ten years after his debut, in 1978! Just to show there are no formulas, after winning the championship Mario was never again competitive in Formula 1, except for his participation in the 1982 Italian Grand Prix.  Mika Hakkinen also took a while to become champion, having debuted in 1991, and winning his first title in 1998, thus seven years later. Denis Hulme won his championship in his third year in Formula 1, 1967, then he stayed on for an additional eight seasons, never again being a real factor, but winning odd races until his final season, 1974.  


 


Then there are those drivers who won the championship very early on their careers, only to fall on a pattern of failures later on. The most outstanding example of this is Jacques Villeneuve. He came to Formula 1 the best possible way, driving for the best team of the time, Williams. He scored pole on his first race, almost winning it. He went on to win four races on his maiden year, finishing runner-up, then winning the championship the second time out. He spent another year at Williams, then changing to the newly formed BAR team for the 1999 season. After a scoreless initial season in the new team, Jacques would never obtain success at BAR.  Making matters worse, the team instantly became competitive once he left. The ever outspoken JV was hired by Sauber in 2005, leaving midseason 2006 when facing the prospect of fighting for his drive with rookie Robert Kubica.


 


Emerson Fittipaldi came to Formula 1 in the middle of the 1970 Formula 1 season, driving for Lotus. He won in his fourth start, and after an indifferent 1971 season, things worked out in 1972, and he became the youngest world champion. He would still win an additional title, in 1974, and after spending one more year at McLaren, he went to race in his brother’s Copersucar sponsored team. From top driver to also ran, Emerson spent an additional five years in Formula 1, without even a glimpse of the success achieved in the first five seasons.  


 


Jack Brabham is one driver with a curious career. The Australian won three titles, and the bulk of his 14 wins (11 of them, in fact) were scored in championship years, although he was in Formula 1 for a long time, from 1955 to 1970. Brabham had scored only three points from a 4th at the 1958 Monaco G.P., before he began his successful 1959 campaign with a win at Monaco. Brabham began his last season, 1970, with a win in South Africa, and lost two Grand Prix on the last lap, to Jochen Rindt, due to running out of fuel. He was the first driver to win a Grand Prix with a car built by himself and also the first World Championship winner equipped with a rear engined car. You could say he was a win or bust type of guy. Although he raced in 126 Grand Prix, he managed to win five straight in his 1960 championship year, and four straight in 1966. In between the last of those wins, in 1960, and the first in 1966, he won nothing! 


 


So, whoever wins the 2007 will definitely add more confusion to this story. I see only three real possibilities: Kimi Raikkonen, Felipe Massa and Fernando Alonso, the last, an outside chance. 

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